河流水质风险评价的灰色-随机风险率方法   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：3  

胡国华  夏军  赵沛伦 《地理科学》2002,22(2):249-252

提出了量化影响河流水质的随机不确定性与灰色不确定性的水质超标灰色－随机风险率概念，建立了水质超标灰色－随机风险率评价模型。在水质单项参数评价模型中，将河流污染物浓度变量的分布处理成灰色概率分布，将污染物浓度超过水质类别标准值的风险率处理成灰色概率，即水质超标灰色－随机风险率。在水质综合评价模型中，河流水环境系统被考虑为担任某一使用可能的可靠性系统，而任意一种水质参数超标意味着河流水体使用功能不能得到应有的保证，也即表明水体综合评价超标，最后借鉴系统可靠性分析的理论和方法计算水质综合超标率。该方法应用于黄河花园口断面重金属污染风险评价。  相似文献   

战略环境评价若干问题研究   总被引：7，自引：2，他引：7  

董德明  赵文晋  王宪恩  房春生 《地理科学》2002,22(5):615-618

分析了传统环境影响评价制度的不足，回顾了战略环境评价的研究与实践进展，阐述了战略环境评价与环境可持续发展的关系，并对以实现环境可持续发展为目标的战略环境评价体系所存在的问题进行了分析。  相似文献   

A Reconnaissance Method for Delineation of Tracts for Regional-Scale Mineral-Resource Assessment Based on Geologic-Map Data     

Raines  Gary L.  Mihalasky  Mark J. 《Natural Resources Research》2002,11(4):241-248

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) is proposing to conduct a global mineral-resource assessment using geologic maps, significant deposits, and exploration history as minimal data requirements. Using a geologic map and locations of significant pluton-related deposits, the pluton-related-deposit tract maps from the USGS national mineral-resource assessment have been reproduced with GIS-based analysis and modeling techniques. Agreement, kappa, and Jaccard's C correlation statistics between the expert USGS and calculated tract maps of 87%, 40%, and 28%, respectively, have been achieved using a combination of weights-of-evidence and weighted logistic regression methods. Between the experts' and calculated maps, the ranking of states measured by total permissive area correlates at 84%. The disagreement between the experts and calculated results can be explained primarily by tracts defined by geophysical evidence not considered in the calculations, generalization of tracts by the experts, differences in map scales, and the experts' inclusion of large tracts that are arguably not permissive. This analysis shows that tracts for regional mineral-resource assessment approximating those delineated by USGS experts can be calculated using weights of evidence and weighted logistic regression, a geologic map, and the location of significant deposits. Weights of evidence and weighted logistic regression applied to a global geologic map could provide quickly a useful reconnaissance definition of tracts for mineral assessment that is tied to the data and is reproducible.  相似文献   

Some Aspects of Resource Uncertainty and Their Economic Consequences in Assessment of the 1002 Area of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge     

Attanasi  Emil D.  Schuenemeyer  John H. 《Natural Resources Research》2002,11(2):109-120

Natural Resources Research - Exploration ventures in frontier areas have high risks. Before committing to them, firms prepare regional resource assessments to evaluate the potential payoffs. With...  相似文献   

Placing geographies of public health   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

Tim Brown  & Craig Duncan 《Area》2002,34(4):361-369

Following the move to a 'post–medical' geography, a large amount of research has come to focus on public health issues. This paper explores these current geographies of public health and argues for the development of a more critical perspective. In particular, it draws on commentary that has emerged out of debates that have taken place within a body of literature usually identified as the critical 'new' public health. The paper goes on to argue that such scholarship offers crucial insights for the production of a critical geography of public health.  相似文献   

干旱区地下水脆弱性特征及评价方法探讨   总被引：29，自引：18，他引：29  

马金珠  高前兆 《干旱区地理》2003,26(1):44-49

干旱区地下水脆弱性是地下水系统本身固有的不稳定属性，是系统结构、功能状态在人类活动干扰及气候变化等自然因素作用下具有的敏感性、易变性和弹性的综合反映。可以以河川径流中冰雪融水比重、地表径流入渗占地下水补给比例、地下水补给强度、地表水的引用率等十项指标（IRRUDQELTS）进行定量评价。通过对塔里木盆地南缘地下水脆弱性评价，表明该区属地下水严重脆弱区，其中又以民丰县、皮山县为极端脆弱，结果与实际情况相符合，说明该评价指标体系具有一定的科学性。  相似文献   

西藏自治区洛扎县冰湖溃决危险度评价   总被引：7，自引：1，他引：7  

刘淑珍  李辉霞  鄢燕  柴宗新  杜少平 《山地学报》2003,21(Z1):128-132

西藏自治区湖泊星罗棋布,在高山极高山地区分布大量冰湖,受各种因素的影响,有时会产生冰湖溃决并形成灾害。本文根据最新TM遥感影像对西藏自治区洛扎县283个冰湖进行了初步评价。依据冰湖类型、规模、后方现代冰川与冰湖的距离及冰湖离居民地、公路等设施的距离等,将冰湖溃决分为高危险度、中危险度及低危险度。并针对高危险度的冰湖提出防护对策。  相似文献   

(Re)surveying the uses of Geographical Information Systems in Health Authorities 1991–2001     

Darren P Smith  Myles I Gould  Gary Higgs† 《Area》2003,35(1):74-83

This paper provides a comparative analysis of two separate national surveys of the uptake and use of Geographical Information Systems (GIS) by Health Authorities (HAs) in England and Wales. The surveys were undertaken at two different time points (1991 and 2001), and the intervening period has been characterized by major (and continuing) health sector restructuring. The substantial number of HA mergers between 1991 and 2001 provide a methodological challenge in attempting to make comparisons. A pragmatic approach is adopted and the presentation of results has to be restricted solely to English and Welsh HA data. Our findings show that there has been a considerable increase in the use of GIS since the early 1990s, and there is some evidence of more sophisticated uses for a wider range of policy-related and application tasks. However, we conclude that there is still considerable scope for the wider uptake and use of GIS within the NHS. In addition, our findings provide a baseline with which to monitor the impacts of future organizational restructuring on the uses of GIS within the NHS. We suggest that this is important given the replacement of 95 English HAs with 28 new Strategic HAs (StHAs) from April 2002, and the repercussions of the anticipated shift in GIS responsibility to Primary Care Trusts.  相似文献   

关注地质分析文献，了解分析技术发展——地质分析综合性评述论文评介   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王毅民石秀琴  陈幼平 《地质通报》2003,22(10):841-843

现代地学已进入地球系统科学研究时代,它涉及到天、地、生的广阔研究领域,是一个综合性很强的学科[1]。地学理论的发展将越来越多地需要用高新技术所获取的高质量、海量观测和分析数据。海量地球化学数据就是其最重要的基础数据之一。地质体归根到底是由化学元素构成的,而且几乎包含了天然存在的所有元素。化学元素的组成、配比、迁移和演化都与一定的地质过程相关联。而要获取这些基础数据和信息,就需要现代地质分析技术的支持。因此当今越来越多的地学家关注着地质分析技术的发展。另一方面,现代地质分析技术已远不是过去的以化学法为主的…  相似文献   

大兴安岭浅覆盖区生态地质评价方法初探——以1∶25万区调呼中镇幅为例   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

马江水李仰春  任凤和尤福珍 李清伟 《中国地质》2003,30(3):330-336

通过野外调查，在收集统计大量基础地质、经济地质、环境地质、旅游地质、农(林)业地质等数据信息的基础上，在GIS技术指导下，采用定量定性相结合的半定量分析评价方法，对森林浅覆盖区生态地质现状及各类资源的开发利用潜力进行了综合评价。在研究和探讨森林浅覆盖区生态地质综合评价方法的基础上，提出了森林浅覆盖区生态地质评价模型，确定了综合参数，划分了生态地质类型。  相似文献